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Access to mental health care and suicide rates

Explainer of Shakya et al. (2026), Journal of Policy Analysis and Management. Not the journal article.

Citation: Shakya, S. and RoyChoudhury, A. (2026). Access to mental health care services and suicide rates in the United States. Journal of Policy Analysis and Management. Free PDF

Related popular writing: Archbridge Institute op-ed.

Facts

Main finding

A 10% improvement in access to mental health providers reduces suicide rates by 3% (1.6 fewer suicides per 100,000 population). This equals approximately 3 additional mental health providers per mile in a county.

One caveat

Results show complementarity between psychologists and psychiatrists. When isolating only psychologist supply, effects become statistically insignificant. Treatment effects represent local average treatment effects (LATE) for those affected by RxP laws, limiting external validity beyond states with similar regulatory variation.

Policy hook

States implementing prescriptive authority for psychologists to expand the supply of mental health providers.

Data and setting

County-level panel data from 2016-2019 tracking the universe of psychiatric and psychological practice locations across all US counties using National Provider Enumeration System data. Suicide rates from CDC Wonder database.

Research design (plain language)

Instrumental variable approach using state implementation of psychologist prescriptive authority (RxP) laws as an exogenous instrument to address endogeneity between provider location and suicidality. Two-stage least squares regression with arcsinh-arcsinh specification on 12,556 county-year observations.

PDF or DOI

Free PDF

Why it matters

Mental health provider shortages are widespread in the US. This study provides causal evidence that expanding access through scope-of-practice deregulation can reduce suicide mortality. Unlike previous not causal studies, using RxP laws as a natural experiment shows policy makers can really improve mental health results through regulatory changes that broaden the provider workforce.